TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9dcd…7e04

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT13752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Maryville University vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.89
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.57
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33%+$40
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$226.58
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$30.8
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$425.1
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.78
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$140.37
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$125.76
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.95
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,542.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.44
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$480.42
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.38
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,542.99
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$4,218.72
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,659.76
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,625.9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$378.67
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$437.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$250.32
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.53
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,044.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$55.19
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$45
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$2,678.41
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,780.61
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$388.83
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.18
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35%+$137.3
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: QoR vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,116.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.