TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof PARIVISION, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfeed…4395backed PARIVISION0c40,902$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION72c19,924$14,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,345.6475758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3c…d370backed PARIVISION75c10,146$7,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,632.362347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION71c9,431$6,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,696.351252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 3DMAX28c9,062$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,555.1775350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed 3DMAX27c8,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,84016152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 3DMAX54c7,487$4,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.871,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked 3DMAX64c7,474$4,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.953762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed PARIVISION56c6,241$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.218442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked PARIVISION73c6,223$4,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,542.6744657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed PARIVISION43c5,508$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.011258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed PARIVISION77c4,753$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.0936554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION22c4,746$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.1432552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed 3DMAX74c4,703$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.7511643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION70c4,666$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.4523243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed PARIVISION53c4,659$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.38750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed 3DMAX28c4,650$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,369.0117062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX52c4,209$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.763,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.9945058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde1f…d634backed 3DMAX59c3,911$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.265248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX32c3,876$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.237,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed PARIVISION24c3,372$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.1112353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed 3DMAX40c3,228$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.9453746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked 3DMAX31c3,217$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.1314144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed 3DMAX36c3,208$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.76656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION73c3,031$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.5683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed PARIVISION71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.9420554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION72c2,995$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.8597952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked PARIVISION72c2,927$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.7578963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked 3DMAX64c2,249$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.6119355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed 3DMAX34c2,130$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.957757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked PARIVISION50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked 3DMAX26c1,936$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.519148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked 3DMAX73c1,928$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.5139970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed PARIVISION64c1,928$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.384955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed PARIVISION31c1,923$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2712941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX29c1,915$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.5181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed 3DMAX29c1,887$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.0655043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked 3DMAX49c1,850$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.3865250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed 3DMAX28c1,709$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.174351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked 3DMAX31c1,676$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.4228443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed 3DMAX29c1,674$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.778563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 3DMAX29c1,662$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.111546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked 3DMAX29c1,639$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.989058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed PARIVISION72c1,617$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.512451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed 3DMAX75c1,566$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9345455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX29c1,466$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.7878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION12c1,443$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.091,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed PARIVISION43c1,434$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.3754938.4%211 W · 338 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked 3DMAX64c1,334$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.4521045.7%96 W · 114 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed 3DMAX29c1,321$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.596060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked 3DMAX29c1,321$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.597857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 3DMAX80c1,282$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX36c1,274$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.584,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed 3DMAX35c1,225$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.56854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked 3DMAX60c1,210$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8519229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed 3DMAX26c1,209$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.0232042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX29c1,201$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.355,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION24c1,151$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.222,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed PARIVISION48c1,108$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.8410133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked PARIVISION72c1,067$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.341,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed PARIVISION41c1,059$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.9141850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed PARIVISION45c1,034$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.185349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked PARIVISION51c999.95$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.983060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed 3DMAX27c991.61$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.8811940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef08…2cd0backed PARIVISION6c968.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX25c967.06$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.365,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked 3DMAX21c966.21$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.335550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed PARIVISION75c954.77$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.0846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed 3DMAX34c953.49$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.9660748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ed…28f3backed PARIVISION2c939.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION34c930$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3131,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed PARIVISION74c899.25$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.368359%49 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed 3DMAX24c817.38$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.9649841.8%208 W · 290 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c5…0b0abacked 3DMAX32c813.97$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.953046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed PARIVISION74c798.93$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.1544648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed PARIVISION73c782$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.864136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX49c760.78$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.411,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed PARIVISION5c716.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.856225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION7c708.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9869624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked PARIVISION68c705.26$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.582334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION33c701$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3335242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed 3DMAX26c699.97$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9896740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…1c4bbacked PARIVISION59c699.97$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.983658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed PARIVISION72c694.43$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9915749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked PARIVISION72c682.78$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.639157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…63a4backed PARIVISION32c675.67$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.332157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed PARIVISION74c667.12$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.673966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed 3DMAX29c660.28$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.87653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked PARIVISION10c645.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7430726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked PARIVISION72c586.42$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.4925651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed 3DMAX29c555.12$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8283443.6%364 W · 470 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked 3DMAX27c553.77$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.234147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 3DMAX32c531.41$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.941,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c4…b153backed 3DMAX29c529.28$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed 3DMAX30c524.78$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.244555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked 3DMAX28c524.2$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.425658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked PARIVISION37c520$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.429739.4%117 W · 180 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked PARIVISION36c506.7$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.542,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed PARIVISION40c500$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20123333%77 W · 156 L-22.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.