TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf70f…3c97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT16456.7%93 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,638Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$12,556.71
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$2,594.7
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25,317Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$17,429.07
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,259Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78%+$5,659.47
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,931Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+101%+$3,970.65
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,754Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$5,291.38
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,752.89
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+186.6%+$2,256.57
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,090.22
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$1,736.04
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240.29
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,907.23
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,233Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$9,712.01
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,018Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$2,503.57
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$3,621.99
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,485.03
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$3,923.91
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900.11
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,078.92
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+226.2%+$3,596.19
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,381.67
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,251.96
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.89
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,294.1
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,186.21
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT4276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked Philadelphia 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.59
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,018.61
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.31
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,345.95
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,955Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$1,493.97
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,487Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$7,824.98
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,638Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$2,745.9
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,879.25
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$489.84
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,201.64
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.99
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$399.71
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$133.31
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,519Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+135%+$7,450.01
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,062.05
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$6,360.19
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,548.45
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,772Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$1,272.88
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$735.25
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$401.64
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,605.6
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,049Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,706.06
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5,314.12
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,058Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$764.45
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$2,638.21
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$3,394.44
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53%+$560.28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,377.01
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+107.8%+$3,674.62
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.1%+$1,198.35
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs 9z (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$349.44
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Counter-Strike: WATERMELON vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked WATERMELON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+57.8%+$381.67
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Cbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+34.9%+$104.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,009.1
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$2,185.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$1,886.91
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.3%+$397.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$3,835.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$405.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.