NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pistons

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26f8bdecc52885d6f88b50dc32c71ce02384a877216df6ff799c2bdf0995194c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Magic, Pistons
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,051,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,118,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,051,203 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,933 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbd14…d62abacked Pistons	78c	1,622,835$1,272,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272,927.2	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic	29c	580,161$167,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413,150.15	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic	26c	480,321$126,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354,104.8	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Magic	22c	332,493$73,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259,129.77	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Magic	21c	236,245$49,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186,633.39	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Pistons	58c	222,024$129,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129,136.26	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Magic	22c	168,000$37,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130,319.74	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Magic	70c	153,682$107,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,104.63	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic	22c	152,151$32,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119,197.67	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic	24c	141,421$34,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107,039.22	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked Magic	22c	127,729$27,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,013.94	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons	49c	126,616$61,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,412.66	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Pistons	79c	109,656$86,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86,628.4	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Pistons	78c	101,074$78,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,837.92	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Magic	21c	99,999$21,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,999.54	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Pistons	78c	94,550$73,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,844.86	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-4.6wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Pistons	79c	87,948$69,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,099.7	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed Magic	41c	86,699$35,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,360.84	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Magic	21c	82,937$17,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,520.36	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Magic	52c	80,626$41,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,700.41	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons	52c	78,177$40,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,469.1	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Magic	61c	75,987$46,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,687.97	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Pistons	46c	67,353$31,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,143.8	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Magic	21c	65,000$13,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,050	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Pistons	66c	59,453$39,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,239.12	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Magic	42c	57,675$24,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,505.34	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Magic	21c	54,764$11,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,263.51	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Pistons	79c	49,370$39,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,002.3	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Magic	22c	48,000$10,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,679.92	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Magic	21c	44,296$9,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,993.76	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Pistons	79c	40,000$31,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,600	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic	23c	39,999$9,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,799	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Magic	21c	37,310$7,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,485.85	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons	78c	37,076$28,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,842.43	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons	44c	36,896$16,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,076.25	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic	21c	35,874$7,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,278.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Magic	22c	35,733$7,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,921.17	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons	35c	34,339$11,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,897.61	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Magic	23c	32,825$7,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,311.4	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	44c	27,350$12,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,162.79	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d2…de22backed Magic	21c	27,319$5,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,581.74	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+102.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic	22c	27,041$5,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,091.98	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	22c	26,965$5,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,163.78	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Magic	21c	26,962$5,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,300.29	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Magic	31c	26,483$8,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,159.2	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic	22c	26,000$5,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,188.1	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons	71c	25,000$17,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,749.93	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Pistons	49c	24,271$11,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,986.21	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Pistons	79c	24,162$19,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,087.6	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Pistons	79c	23,994$18,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,955.12	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Magic	52c	23,642$12,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,301.56	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons	3c	23,172$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.58	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Pistons	62c	23,112$14,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,350.68	193	88.1%170 W · 23 L	+48.6wins	+0.25per pick	63cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	75+0.22 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Magic	21c	22,681$4,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,917.95	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Magic	21c	20,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,799.99	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Magic	42c	19,784$8,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,528.96	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Magic	29c	19,753$5,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,105.17	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938f…a768backed Pistons	65c	19,580$12,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,727	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Magic	21c	19,390$4,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,253.12	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae4…e479backed Magic	61c	19,110$11,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,407.61	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Magic	23c	18,950$4,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,669.13	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pistons	22c	18,662$4,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,054.37	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Magic	21c	17,250$3,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,545.35	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Pistons	71c	17,235$12,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,151.52	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-12.5wins	-0.21per pick	62cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Pistons	63c	17,211$10,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,761.04	203	46.3%94 W · 109 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Magic	21c	17,193$3,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,500.5	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons	47c	16,827$7,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,860.8	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9b…e9f6backed Pistons	41c	16,454$6,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,769.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	37c	16,198$6,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,140.4	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic	21c	16,065$3,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,620.52	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Magic	21c	15,500$3,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,169.97	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Pistons	65c	15,191$9,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,932.23	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Magic	21c	15,116$3,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,941.78	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Pistons	66c	15,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,899.93	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic	46c	14,966$6,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,043.29	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Magic	20c	13,914$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,113.61	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Pistons	67c	13,168$8,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,822.59	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Magic	48c	12,743$6,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,563.76	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Magic	22c	12,590$2,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,820.1	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Pistons	79c	12,499$9,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,874	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+8.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Magic	34c	12,415$4,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,140.9	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+13.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Magic	50c	12,170$6,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,089.18	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pistons	1c	12,060$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.2	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Pistons	67c	11,424$7,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,654.19	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic	21c	11,155$2,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,832.34	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Pistons	79c	11,130$8,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,792.59	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Magic	21c	10,864$2,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,539.49	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Magic	31c	10,823$3,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,467.8	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Magic	34c	10,742$3,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,068.3	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Magic	21c	10,538$2,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,324.88	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Pistons	80c	10,413$8,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,330.41	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Magic	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,900	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic	42c	10,000$4,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,779.94	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Pistons	66c	9,796$6,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,465.36	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Magic	32c	9,749$3,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,614.51	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pistons	49c	9,694$4,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,750.06	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Magic	21c	9,562$1,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,571.27	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Pistons	51c	9,519$4,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,852.95	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Magic	31c	9,509$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,569.12	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Pistons	71c	8,933$6,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,381.59	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Magic vs. Pistonsthis page
1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Magic won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Magic vs. Pistons

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event