TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$384,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$469,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c199,849$103,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,921.621,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Under48c100,949$48,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,493.462937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c54,709$26,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,435.481,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under48c40,367$19,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,990.6725248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under47c19,688$9,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,434.6914842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c19,231$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938f…a768backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.992650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6070…7be3backed Under48c7,948$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over21c7,703$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.721,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c7,592$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,023.6490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c5,813$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.861,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c5,061$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.431,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c5,061$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.4332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c4,293$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c4,151$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.761,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under50c3,979$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.5611864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Under53c2,972$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.972347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over50c2,910$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45529650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c2,288$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over51c1,456$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.515945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c1,400$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.3434850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over21c1,297$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.3218743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over49c1,210$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.3352052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under50c993.68$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.844957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under48c908.25$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2929848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c792.28$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.981,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over62c678$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3646258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa78d…7279backed Over51c675.1$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.883221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over7c641.35$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2320837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd47f…169bbacked Over61c474.47$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.454854.2%26 W · 22 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-24.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c444$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under52c421.55$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0920638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c7…70d1backed Over50c417.51$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c415.77$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under39c363.39$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.612,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over13c356.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over53c325.66$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.632450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5259650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over53c252.67$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.917452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over39c249.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.872,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under50c244.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2218534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under50c242.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.257150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c237.57$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.695,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over53c220.03$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6233251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over40c202.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.153461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under48c199.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9738432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over50c187.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8823652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa401…1dafbacked Over49c183.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over15c183.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.362047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d7…cb5abacked Over54c180.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Under51c175.8$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.627856.4%44 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over48c161.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.621,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c147.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c146.86$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed Under49c131.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.862445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under48c129.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29b…5568backed Over27c126.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.711952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over53c120.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9221354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under37c117.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over49c115.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.991,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c111.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.331,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over53c102.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over49c101.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.791,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Over73c101.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.647946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4813560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.484852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c96.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over50c96.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.113047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Over53c91.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.569651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over55c90.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under50c81.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Under48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9836842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…6886backed Over32c73.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.281560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over49c72.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7121653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over53c72.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5723650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under54c72.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1229665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5029…c8bebacked Under71c69.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.144346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c68.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.621,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over49c66.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.538347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843c…8405backed Under73c65.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.563161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under37c58.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3731238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c26…ae3abacked Over54c58.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over42c55.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9915662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under38c54.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.783,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x516d…60c6backed Over53c54.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c54.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.652,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1c…231fbacked Over53c54.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.765251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under21c53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8745544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Over53c50.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.727149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under58c50.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.115663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d3bebacked Under43c49.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.