NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9ff9dea37751ffe88abbd9c3bd24744ffe8188e328573d461cc578f39dc106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,323,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,298,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,323,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 659 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 49c | 1,004,281$488,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515,493.94 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Pistons | 51c | 500,000$255,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254,999.96 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pistons | 52c | 392,613$203,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,339.89 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons | 52c | 340,854$177,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,244 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 51c | 237,169$120,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,655 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 48c | 217,212$104,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,950.1 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 49c | 124,999$60,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,199.36 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Magic | 49c | 90,000$44,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,900 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 48c | 88,089$42,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,460.05 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Pistons | 50c | 79,131$39,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,405.19 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Pistons | 51c | 66,103$33,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,451.68 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Magic | 50c | 58,667$29,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,333.25 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Magic | 48c | 55,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,599.87 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 51c | 53,012$27,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,036.15 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 48c | 49,087$23,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,532.34 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Magic | 67c | 40,620$27,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,448.03 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 48c | 33,332$16,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,232.65 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Pistons | 52c | 29,883$15,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,539.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 49c | 24,056$11,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,190.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Pistons | 52c | 23,602$12,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,223.95 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 50c | 21,494$10,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,747.03 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons | 51c | 20,000$10,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,158.34 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Magic | 49c | 19,388$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,887.88 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Pistons | 51c | 18,441$9,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,405.11 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 51c | 16,904$8,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,620.93 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Pistons | 52c | 16,866$8,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,770.41 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 48c | 15,370$7,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,992.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Pistons | 52c | 14,228$7,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,398.6 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons | 52c | 14,009$7,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,283.98 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Pistons | 52c | 13,074$6,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,798.4 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 60c | 11,764$7,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.43 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 50c | 11,128$5,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pistons | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.94 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9b…be80backed Magic | 49c | 9,925$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 51c | 9,851$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.91 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 0c | 9,842$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pistons | 52c | 9,712$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.24 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Magic | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…f082backed Pistons | 52c | 9,332$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Magic | 50c | 8,582$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 48c | 8,320$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.03 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Magic | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Magic | 49c | 6,529$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.59 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 52c | 6,515$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.32 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…25b8backed Pistons | 52c | 6,331$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 50c | 5,678$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.52 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 50c | 5,071$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 48c | 4,967$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Magic | 49c | 4,946$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.42 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 67c | 4,935$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 50c | 4,834$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.51 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 49c | 4,800$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.98 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Pistons | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Magic | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Magic | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Magic | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.58 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Pistons | 52c | 3,763$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.57 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons | 19c | 3,704$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.11 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 48c | 3,429$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Pistons | 52c | 3,391$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pistons | 50c | 3,222$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Magic | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Magic | 48c | 3,000$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,956$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.03 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 48c | 2,916$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.32 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Pistons | 53c | 2,915$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.16 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,854$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.32 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…5b61backed Pistons | 52c | 2,802$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pistons | 52c | 2,572$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.3 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Magic | 58c | 2,570$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.91 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pistons | 51c | 2,549$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.31 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Magic | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Magic | 48c | 2,500$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Pistons | 52c | 2,428$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.56 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Magic | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.84 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Pistons | 43c | 2,397$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic | 49c | 2,382$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.87 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Magic | 49c | 2,100$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e11…6a5abacked Pistons | 4c | 2,052$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Magic | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.8 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Pistons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Magic | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Pistons | 33c | 1,996$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.75 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Pistons | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Pistons | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Magic | 49c | 1,953$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.78 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…11c1backed Pistons | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Magic | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Magic | 49c | 1,884$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.9 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Pistons | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Pistons | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,826$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 59c | 1,763$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.74 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Magic | 49c | 1,699$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Magic | 49c | 1,648$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.47 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Magic | 49c | 1,623$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.62 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Magic vs. PistonsMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.