TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Over47c17,085$7,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,985.0585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Under44c6,980$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.075655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x938f…a768backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c4,984$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.033,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c4,304$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c4,197$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.422,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over40c3,460$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.482,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over49c3,253$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.321656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c2,814$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.951,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under60c2,329$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.251,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,063$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.611,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under45c2,053$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.384957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under55c1,829$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.9510239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,801$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.371,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Over68c1,587$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.884841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,506$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over56c1,414$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.982,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over57c1,293$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.491,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,270$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.076,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under59c1,246$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3117553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over40c1,205$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4828844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f14…7f76backed Under48c1,111$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.831136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over60c947.83$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Under40c907.35$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd47f…169bbacked Over48c814.91$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.414854.2%26 W · 22 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-24.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.88$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over22c780.86$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.465738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under53c722.89$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under40c652.82$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1720638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over53c620.07$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b1…a59bbacked Under48c602.77$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3613547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under47c525.38$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.031,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c522.6$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.983,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c520.17$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c510.37$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under45c508.19$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c495.55$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.831,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Under55c493.24$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.215853.8%85 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabdb…3114backed Under56c485$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over56c474.89$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8237647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…9e46backed Over54c449.98$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cb…8f74backed Over35c432.15$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.872339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Over45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.43641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under45c425.48$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0118643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under43c414.83$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.333,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over47c409.5$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4131151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…4bd1backed Over53c407.06$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ef…340bbacked Under50c402.16$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Under48c399.75$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9344052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9252…00cbbacked Over53c390.13$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19414046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc85…c77ebacked Under50c387.26$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…b380backed Over70c327.01$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under55c306.93$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16524955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over65c291$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.153745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under45c268.61$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.747150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under48c251.27$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12dd…f9c7backed Under45c234.25$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over56c227.75$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5462652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c227.68$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over56c222.66$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8523445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over56c208.23$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over52c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5e…34febacked Over50c194.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over55c193.48$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over54c177.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.711,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under58c175$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c174.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.614,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.368540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed Over43c169.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.986051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over44c169.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c168.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under68c168.09$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under57c164.56$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7936051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Over60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.67946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e89…2fc6backed Over62c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.729548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under72c149.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.265740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c148.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.255,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c145.53$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.142,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d3bebacked Under49c139.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.391656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under51c139.73$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed Under52c139.46$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.482445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under58c133.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5627245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Under46c128.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4929556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c121.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c111.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.961,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over55c109.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8316842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over44c102.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.483638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5541050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb051…b740backed Over62c99.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over46c97.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Under51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.568154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.