TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c69…e671

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT6051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.4
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.29
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$10.92
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$12.62
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.79
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$11.55
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$858.52
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.96
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.78
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.57
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.91
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108%+$242.92
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$153.04
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+400%+$119
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$13.63
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$71.86
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$20.69
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$36.72
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$48.85
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT5865.5%38 W · 20 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.93
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$55.04
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$106.7
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.78
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$4.53
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.28
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$6.11
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$11.4
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.92
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$7.83
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.69
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$3.69
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4.46
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$31.37
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.97
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$2.85
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$204.77
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.67
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$22.37
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$10.61
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$10.2
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$12
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+41%+$8.5
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$20.69
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$8.77
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52%+$7.93
Will Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$6.12
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.14
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 325k and 350k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.53
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 350k and 375k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$6.47
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.08
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$135.52
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$100.07
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$67.43
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+336.1%+$54.65
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.53
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.91
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$55.24
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$101.21
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.52
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$82.98
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$250.32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$243.49
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$218.37
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.46
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick63cpaid+106%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$15.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$50.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.66
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29%+$30.63
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$12.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$32.78
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+580.5%+$74.66
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.97
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$33.17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$11.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$6.28
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$16.58
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+34%+$4.04
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$6.79
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$50.76
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$133.72
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$40.35
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.37
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.9
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.73
Madrid Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.73
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguetbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick55cpaid-83.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$22.62
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.94
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.47
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$120.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$12.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$37.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$28.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.