Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60fe04c1ac3554683d34a3a2ce5b3d95f0dba26a033ad01e8ebbfb7fe9b17a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 10,993$6,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.75 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 7,517$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.49 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 21c | 6,804$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.9 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 6,556$5,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.18 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 26c | 3,110$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 2,752$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.26 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 22c | 1,993$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.88 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 24c | 1,991$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 1,499$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.72 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 76c | 1,464$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee9…c110backed Yes | 74c | 1,338$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 1,250$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.8 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 75c | 1,211$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.7 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 57c | 924.58$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.41 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…9cedbacked Yes | 77c | 887.64$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 39c | 822.75$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.81 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 61c | 753.94$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.99 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 750.7$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.08 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 24c | 638.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 24c | 596.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…73f1backed Yes | 2c | 584.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…0fd6backed Yes | 3c | 508.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 75c | 480.43$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 473$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed No | 15c | 466.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 454.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 423.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…98bebacked Yes | 34c | 414.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 406.67$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 25c | 390.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1d12backed Yes | 76c | 352.39$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…553ebacked Yes | 28c | 351.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 18c | 312.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked No | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +267.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 24c | 299.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 69c | 295.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…a0e2backed Yes | 9c | 291.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 72c | 273.57$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 272.55$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 252.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.05 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 78c | 251.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 80c | 247$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…6a23backed Yes | 26c | 224.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 23c | 215.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 205.45$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…e8f6backed Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…74febacked Yes | 49c | 196.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 31c | 191.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 24c | 190.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 8c | 188.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 188.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…0557backed Yes | 25c | 186.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 75c | 170.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 24c | 170.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 70c | 140.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Yes | 78c | 139.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 71c | 138.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 71c | 138.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 71c | 138.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 71c | 138.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 78c | 136.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…f7eebacked Yes | 74c | 133.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…4c97backed Yes | 23c | 124.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 40c | 115.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 33c | 115.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 114.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 114.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 55c | 110.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 57c | 105.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked No | 75c | 99.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 99.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0500backed Yes | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 75c | 91.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…7239backed Yes | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked No | 74c | 80.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked No | 20c | 76.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.