TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7695…9ced

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.5
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$231.36
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$571.01
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$1,520
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.37
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$307
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$167.53
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,503Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$4,497.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.59
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.25
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.12
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.95
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Spread: England (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$52.09
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+71.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+115.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$248
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+284.6%+$148
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.5
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+316.7%+$76
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$496
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$154
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$308.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$31.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$306
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.