TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$922,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$933,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $922,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No62c150,685$93,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,590.555349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes38c98,515$37,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,344.878042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c68,805$25,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,974.9948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c67,430$42,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,322.498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes39c38,462$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c36,352$23,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,712.192,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes39c34,000$13,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,2201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No62c32,120$19,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,205.484757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c28,746$17,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,986.6268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c27,623$10,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,47193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No62c25,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.9816045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes38c24,930$9,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,454.616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No62c23,000$14,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,819.979952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No62c22,653$14,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,563.822748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No62c17,000$10,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,449.98875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191c…f0b4backed Yes9c16,869$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No61c15,182$9,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,864.4140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.962250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes38c11,321$4,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,268.631827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No62c9,000$5,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.979631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No63c8,207$5,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.394445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No62c8,000$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.973636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked No62c7,000$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6301471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No61c6,812$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes9c6,747$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.3420143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No62c6,500$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4708941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No63c6,118$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.672850%14 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No61c6,054$3,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.942347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c5,954$3,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.7445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Yes1c5,257$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes39c5,133$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+62.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes38c4,590$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.089350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes38c4,222$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6053030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5607560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c3,895$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.8196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes7c3,500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes38c3,466$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No61c3,356$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.3712153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd751…58bdbacked Yes25c3,284$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1be…a00fbacked Yes36c3,273$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No61c3,204$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.652466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf846…cb9fbacked Yes38c3,158$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes32c3,127$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7312731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1407332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1407255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No62c2,836$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.6140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes40c2,642$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.9813553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes39c2,559$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9983756.8%21 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+81.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x21d8…1389backed Yes36c2,539$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x833d…faedbacked Yes39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes10c2,379$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2271833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9110…e499backed Yes38c2,368$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c2,349$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes37c2,162$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes38c2,105$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes6c2,105$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9920431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes18c2,102$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3871338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes36c1,959$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.7132843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No61c1,955$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.2626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes38c1,842$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.965446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes37c1,800$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6721637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a9…728ebacked No63c1,747$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes9c1,700$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.37226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes34c1,625$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5452231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No61c1,566$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes34c1,549$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5556142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes37c1,400$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51822237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes14c1,399$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.85520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes14c1,394$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+129.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Yes38c1,317$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.461250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes38c1,277$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes24c1,196$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5618858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes32c1,160$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.088342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed No61c1,146$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.86333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes1c1,145$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac6…18e5backed Yes39c1,118$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes32c1,050$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.881050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes37c1,046$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e3…f0adbacked No63c1,021$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3705064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3707055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes39c987$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.939627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed No61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7dd…2bdebacked Yes38c902.63$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83be…4a50backed Yes15c822.58$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes8c821.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.920033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No62c810$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.85563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.