TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes34c18,280$6,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,070.7298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No66c12,370$8,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,164.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No66c10,087$6,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,657.584463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7006360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No66c8,850$5,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8416346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c7,346$5,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,357.0796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes71c5,648$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.9949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes33c5,030$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c4,584$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.692,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba7…c3c4backed Yes34c3,277$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf72a…944ebacked Yes34c2,544$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes34c2,374$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.8422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes76c1,847$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c1,793$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.7546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c1,559$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.191,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.5910650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes34c1,435$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.294030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes19c1,367$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+129.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No66c999.99$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6605064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes24c995.67$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.0820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No28c956.09$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.923026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked Yes35c942.86$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.86850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No12c940$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1820033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes43c888$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.169576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c866.3$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.0129862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes35c830.88$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.7434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ecf…e6afbacked Yes28c821.43$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No67c814$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.387656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes43c790.7$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.79046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes51c781.36$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.271866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes42c769.53$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5317744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No41c755.74$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Yes34c705.88$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked No46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes31c651.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2610233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No67c587.67$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.995959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes54c555.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7411429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes25c553.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.2610147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes23c536.65$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.221618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes34c531.02$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.474447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No46c526.07$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes64c504.9$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.163661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3257830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes64c499.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.19850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5513946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No36c430$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes25c400.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.244233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30416032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26810038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes51c388.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.581637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No66c380$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.89456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No67c379$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.668357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0de6…2393backed Yes77c376.94$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.94757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c376.93$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes34c365.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No78c333$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes28c325$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.85726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No39c319.4$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes50c309.12$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.563773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Yes34c308.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No38c307.65$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.594245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19821445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19826046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf32…5159backed No38c285$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes34c257.32$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.832231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes33c250$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Yes42c237.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.721060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+110.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed Yes34c230.38$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.051656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes26c218.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.882330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes34c217.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7810451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.391353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes41c211.35$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.71060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No44c202.02$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.892552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes34c200.68$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.73728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5210757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x097a…13a4backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No65c199.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No69c190.44$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.253661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No72c181.43$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0314347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c174.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3411619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No66c151.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes32c144$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1518858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.868744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Yes22c140.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…5592backed Yes61c136.74$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes34c132.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.352445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed No21c131.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.