TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c1a…5cb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
397
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT25537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 255 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$231.79
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,300
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$398.1
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,015
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+98%+$980.2
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$810.38
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,679.99
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,920
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$2,660
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$295
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,214.99
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,290
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.92
Showing 25 of 255 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$740
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.01
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$439.99
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.02
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$509.91
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.4
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 1 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+715.2%+$715.23
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$385.44
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$433.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$263.79
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$293
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$391
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$774.67
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,229.79
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.4
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.02
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$979.99
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.04
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.24
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$383.61
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$446.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 2 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.46
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$230.78
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,015.15
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$462.37
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+301.2%+$602.32
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.1
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$86.29
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 0 Real Oviedo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$733.33
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+119.2%+$476.73
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+257.3%+$486.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,139.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.