TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under49c3,781$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.535749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Over50c3,490$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.423850%19 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over44c3,444$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.145750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under58c3,421$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under54c2,877$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over51c1,977$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0103930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c1,811$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.064755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under52c1,330$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.831070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Over50c1,303$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Under52c1,249$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.034461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…db3abacked Under58c1,009$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over46c999.96$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9811443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Under71c991.02$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.931478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09bd…140cbacked Over49c964.02$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under53c946.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.053050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Over47c904.69$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over47c830.37$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.971118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-69.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x536d…c925backed Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2c…7845backed Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Under52c588.49$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over42c468.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4360748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over43c439.79$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.189248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1732…1c15backed Over52c410.44$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdeb…0b10backed Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Under55c365.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.111250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Over29c346.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over41c304$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6450247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Over48c291.1$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under53c280.79$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over49c262.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.373023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over41c253.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9440350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Under50c251.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0411450.9%58 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…56b8backed Over26c211.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.89616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-72.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over49c205.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.834544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4529…d10abacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963574.3%26 W · 9 L+9.4wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+57.4%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over28c141.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3838253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c124$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.093231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f74…2dfbbacked Over50c117.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00be…8ec8backed Under52c102.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Under52c101.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.13887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked Under53c101$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.472770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+62.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4721354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7543252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Over51c97.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.752326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0e…c5cebacked Under55c93.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…eb9cbacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef71…5407backed Under53c90.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Over35c86.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Over45c86.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dce…dcc3backed Over48c83.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402544%11 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x054a…d622backed Under52c77.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Under54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c69.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9888631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Over51c67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.261050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c61.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.372259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6046…afc3backed Under50c60.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.25646.4%26 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over32c55.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.856953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411646.6%54 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30c…93eabacked Over26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2450%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe490…e591backed Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Over25c43.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9497…556fbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.822552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x807a…3be2backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under61c38.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6821217%36 W · 176 L-37.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Over44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under57c31.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.714353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Over38c31.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fce…6476backed Over50c30.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over48c29.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b59…31b4backed Under52c26.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x710b…93b0backed Under54c25.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under52c24.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.869262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe779…059cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f83…7052backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.