Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56a8f25fb09c2aa0bc10b4a522b94fd0306ed58d234fce14baa2f257d67730d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9169…97d1backed Under | 30c | 1,053$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 28c | 960.76$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.45 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 72c | 779.99$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 28c | 588.41$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.88 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Over | 71c | 514.86$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 73c | 508.32$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.13 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 20c | 495$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 71c | 340.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 80c | 239.41$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 27c | 209.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…95b3backed Over | 71c | 190.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 73c | 169.03$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 71c | 125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 72c | 116.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 93.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 26c | 86.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 54c | 79.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…f180backed Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 26c | 53.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…c7a7backed Under | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Over | 74c | 28.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097e…f7e0backed Over | 71c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Over | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.