TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd9f…f8dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$98.25
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.03
Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.44
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.78
Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.17
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$79.29
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Moise Kouame vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Arnaldi vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Collignon vs. Shelton: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.02
Sabalenka vs. Jacquemot: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Casper Ruud vs. Hamad Medjedovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.18
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$34
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$62.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$267.78
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.08
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.25
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$51.34
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$41.54
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.51
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$783.94
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.8
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$31.16
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.62
United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruz Azul win Liga MX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$142.35
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$140.99
Will Guadalajara win Liga MX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$140.77
Will Pachuca win Liga MX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.76
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.43
Will Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$466.07
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.35
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.92
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.