TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,201 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No6c3,321$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.2623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No28c2,354$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.7923542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes66c2,140$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4103850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes66c1,962$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30411565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes65c1,757$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.051,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No34c1,559$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.822948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c1,462$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.585,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c1,444$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.18,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No35c1,246$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.212646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes65c1,085$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70513257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes68c988.35$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.9628651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No26c577.38$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.2715128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No55c576.28$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0744843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No34c416.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2121349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No36c324.47$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6642250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes66c324$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.841,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002560%15 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes74c272$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes72c260.29$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.621,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf629…9e4cbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes54c215.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No35c202$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.313545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13030754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No36c199.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Yes67c192.58$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…66e7backed Yes66c180.32$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc12…c741backed Yes67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.52568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No36c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7516347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No33c142.58$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.531,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked No19c142.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.113438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…330bbacked No36c139.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c139.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.091,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No34c135.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No38c130.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.491,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c128.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.082,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c126.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.383,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes70c104.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4950746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No13c104.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.271,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes74c92.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4624665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No69c91.94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes66c91.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.636656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes66c87.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.731442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes18c77.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9776951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No36c70.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0329053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes68c69.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No25c69.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.483658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked No36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.442161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Yes75c66.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed Yes23c65.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes59c65.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.235648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Yes22c62.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.524348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No39c62.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No36c60.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89db…d0efbacked No37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes70c49.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9813248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes72c49.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Yes65c48.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.469447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Yes69c46.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed No34c44.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+67%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes67c43.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5d…1f93backed No37c43.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No64c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.220665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Yes64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No32c39.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7329245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Yes66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9730858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes65c32.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.848153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff6…07f9backed Yes65c30.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes65c30.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes66c29.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7925864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c8…b100backed Yes77c25.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+132.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes65c24.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes66c24.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-37.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x19e1…47e2backed Yes65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…4a78backed Yes66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc735…b72abacked Yes54c20.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Yes66c15.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071450%7 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3513457.5%77 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes79c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes77c14.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.037748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.