TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc735…b72a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+87%+$11.32
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+317.5%+$47.62
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$8.08
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$21.91
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.83
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$17.13
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$14.43
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.45
EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$9.18
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+306%+$46.77
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$22.08
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+200.1%+$22.22
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$12.17
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$20.32
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$21.43
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$39.39
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$12.54
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$7.65
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.82
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30%+$7.1
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$13.5
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+93%+$13.55
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$26.08
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.07
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.85
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$11.47
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+673.4%+$95.83
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$16.45
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+120.6%+$36.18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$18.12
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$30.72
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$8.37
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+144.7%+$18.15
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$20.47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$17.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+273%+$76.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+204.7%+$22.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+198.4%+$20.97
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$17.59
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+186.4%+$19.2
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+404.3%+$44.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$11.96
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$24.87
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+59%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.