South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99f7ae85c513f28e3c93be87ddd581d1a21cf1319befadad9a191a4a2638ec3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 1,241$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.59 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 860.92$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 55c | 623.7$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.23 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 53c | 409.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 334.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 259.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 50c | 222.81$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 12c | 219.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 48c | 113.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 50c | 108.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 55c | 98.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Yes | 54c | 91.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf865…c515backed Yes | 55c | 46.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…5854backed No | 48c | 46.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 37.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…592fbacked No | 61c | 36.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…bd64backed Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 33.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…b72abacked Yes | 61c | 23.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 54c | 23.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856a…864ebacked Yes | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Yes | 54c | 19.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.