South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66713bce4cf0142938e4925f6a8ec98c71d809194bdca5ee8189699e6029606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 5,106$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 68c | 3,294$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 1,091$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.14 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 1,079$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.02 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 71c | 788.85$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.77 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 674.28$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 72c | 546.22$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…3918backed Under | 45c | 544.32$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…81b9backed Under | 31c | 359.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 297.55$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 9c | 264$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 246.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 73c | 228.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 78c | 212.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed Under | 22c | 184.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 182.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 64c | 144.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 74c | 110.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 62c | 109.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 90.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Under | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 57c | 86.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 72c | 82.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 68c | 69.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 69c | 59.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 69c | 58.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 72c | 47.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked Over | 72c | 45.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 64c | 42.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 71c | 40.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 70c | 30.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Over | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…c0ddbacked Over | 71c | 27.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Over | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 73c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5this page
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.