TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c5,731$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.935,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over32c4,206$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.4811055.5%61 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c905.75$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.898,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over46c892.72$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.071957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+73.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c479.08$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.682,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over45c455.63$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.65832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over43c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0539127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over64c382.19$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.595660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under57c342.86$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.543627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under56c292.08$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5619659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over36c269.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6613833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under54c254$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1621349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c236.41$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.093,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under54c233.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.265058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over43c232.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7112940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Over47c209.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.31850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Over47c209.72$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.152050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over44c206.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.329229.3%27 W · 65 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Over47c185$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.051952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over35c162$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.32171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c159.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.791,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed Over48c149.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.991758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under68c123.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.710456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked Over48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.22152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c106.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4157157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7912439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under70c100.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.733953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Over48c99.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.991752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c99.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8483642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under59c93.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.954374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c85.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over48c82.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.664568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.534447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over47c75.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9199259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over55c71.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.645042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over60c69.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9813441%55 W · 79 L-14.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under54c66.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.788961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over30c66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.24731.9%15 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under55c65.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.836757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under55c65.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c65.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under55c65.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.841256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under55c65.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.816160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under55c65.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.817857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under55c65.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.819056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under55c65.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under49c63.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.591,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over47c63.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.851172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Under57c63.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.052853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under57c63.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0516255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over31c61.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.676457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under57c60.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.294866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under62c60.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.481,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under59c59.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.828964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under52c52.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4716653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under54c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9221359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under53c45.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1319955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under53c45.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1315654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under53c45.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1312361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under54c45.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.316342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94f9…e1b8backed Over51c44.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.028843.2%38 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bf…3d48backed Over36c44.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under56c43.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3812259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under71c39.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.893360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under52c38.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.255860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…1a89backed Over45c38.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.273748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5c…81b9backed Over45c38.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.427048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Over45c36.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.162850%14 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c35.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.972,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under64c34.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.932369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under66c34.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.569361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…d945backed Over45c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over47c29.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.399353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under60c23.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under58c23.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.438851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under58c23.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.437857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Under56c22.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over47c22.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.014763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under58c20.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6718859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under58c20.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under58c20.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6718154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under58c20.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.673764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under54c19.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb277…c7eebacked Under61c19.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Under65c19.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.