TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7780…c0dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.15
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+98%+$9.9
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$12.59
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$6.34
Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$7.88
Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$17.51
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Club Blooming vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$12.06
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$10.33
EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40%+$7.91
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$11.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+80%+$9
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.08
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.84
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.18
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.21
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.25
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+87%+$10.77
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$6.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$5.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.