South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83cdb59db27e5deac29e5597e6fc2bbc1f6da3fa33b9c6dd3aa0e722aff8665b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 69c | 4,296$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 3,575$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 2,410$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.91 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 67c | 1,578$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.64 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,516$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.79 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 67c | 1,039$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 67c | 980.2$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.47 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 66c | 734.7$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 25c | 381.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 378.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 65c | 361.6$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 35c | 334.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 303.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 67c | 196.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 66c | 185$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 32c | 185$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 162.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 36c | 124.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 17c | 108.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 74c | 86.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 67c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 40c | 45.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 36c | 42.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…d98abacked Under | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked Over | 75c | 37.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…54e5backed Under | 36c | 31.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 34c | 29.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…7673backed Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 74c | 28.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 74c | 28.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 71c | 22.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 74c | 22.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…c0ddbacked Over | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 79c | 20.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 74c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 61c | 17.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed Over | 66c | 15.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 75c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.