South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6be4952c655ce28886cdca7f20f2b35c175eb31bd15368a448ab3bbfd484df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.43 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 641.3$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.48 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 629.55$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.07 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 2c | 625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 501.89$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 48c | 450.29$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.15 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Yes | 45c | 429.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 419.59$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 64c | 234.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…3c11backed No | 42c | 229.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 54c | 120.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…ce7fbacked Yes | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 46c | 86.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 81.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed No | 55c | 71.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 37c | 60.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 62c | 58.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 49c | 50.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 62c | 30.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…b251backed Yes | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 47c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed No | 52c | 21.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed No | 65c | 18.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.