TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ea5…b5e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT4637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96%+$944.84
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.93
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960.4
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+369%+$1,912.19
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$401.75
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$99.34
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$76.33
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$208.18
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$894.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.86
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,150.2%+$4,025.59
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,925
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,273
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,613.95
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,654.01
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$669.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,944Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,723.57
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,092.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$861.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,232.4
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40%+$800.15
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,200
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$351.94
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.46
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$320.03
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$294.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,953.2
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$199.56
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.02
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.4
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,217.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,081.63
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.74
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,243
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,030Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$870
Will FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$735.21
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Santos FC vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.89
Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$323.47
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,238.83
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.36
Will Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.41
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.2
Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.82
CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.73
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+184.6%+$711.06
Will CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$320.43
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$434.9
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.8
Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.15
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.38
SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$488.54
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.78
Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+36.7%+$156.31
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$256.78
All 24 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$791.37
Will Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.88
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$199.57
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,478.7
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,988Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$560.71
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.28
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$250
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.4%+$155.48
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$50
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$351.35
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+39.7%+$145.55
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+39.3%+$393.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.09
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.32
Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$77.16
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$482.79
Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$79.25
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$513.17
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$1,237.11
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$812.12
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$945.73
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29%+$174.1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.4%+$385.58
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$33.38
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$194.16
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$632.92
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,056.04
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.8%+$311.83
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.6%+$371.41
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+160.2%+$352.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,152.64
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$315.65
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,283.09
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.97
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$612.68
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$106.33
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.85
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.86
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.3
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$156.16
Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.98
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$631.58
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.9%+$207.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+101.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick21cpaid+564.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,449.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.3%+$91.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.