TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No53c8,235$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c5,261$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.132,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c5,080$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.8627644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes35c3,607$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c2,347$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c2,193$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.3691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4004261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3804369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Yes46c1,952$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes40c1,904$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No71c1,833$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.231546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c1,421$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.1438047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked No70c1,300$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9101136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2912…444bbacked No70c1,247$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No70c1,091$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.74551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c1,079$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.127851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…8f68backed Yes67c1,024$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c907.96$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.423,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c797.23$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.91,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes20c534.5$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+150%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No42c509.75$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2533522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes37c484.15$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.023852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7e1…f770backed Yes68c430.76$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Yes48c405.06$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes56c404.32$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes31c388.27$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.691,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No70c350.71$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No10c327.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf95…7e16backed Yes30c319.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No66c319.22$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1420048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62b6…e6d9backed No70c316.5$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes31c316.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.27911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked No69c299.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes30c288.45$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.922343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No71c276.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes72c273.78$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked No70c253.31$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc856…f642backed No58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes79c244.32$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.614575.6%34 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No18c233.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.584533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No11c215.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No70c208$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c198.81$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3469448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c196.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.281,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Yes37c194.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed Yes30c189.68$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes63c184.26$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4514552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes63c184.26$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4511443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c179.97$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9819546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes30c174.36$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.051338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c159.24$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4766150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes31c156.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.213834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked No13c153.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed No26c148.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.725549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f8…2515backed Yes73c148.24$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes31c143.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.221729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No70c139.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.623464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes38c126.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6112345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab45…fee3backed Yes70c126.19$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes31c123.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes71c123.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.995265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes71c123.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.998254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes71c123.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9910956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes71c123.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.999056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes30c119.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.42757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes34c117$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.678023.8%19 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No9c111.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0712258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Yes31c111.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.81837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes30c108.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No70c108$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.69345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked No48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c100.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.223231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…8d99backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No16c99.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8116013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes31c97.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.475032%16 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed No60c97.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.91580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c95.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0611833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes31c92.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.011752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No66c89.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.653582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No70c89.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.615257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No71c88.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.183661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes72c87.11$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.584461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes64c76.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.543164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0413666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No70c73.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.563278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No51c73.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8912633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2be3…44a5backed Yes67c71.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes52c70.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.553145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes50c70.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.022755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes49c69.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.823357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed No20c68.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.942347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes78c68.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Yes31c68.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes55c65.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No36c64.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.145263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed No61c64.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes61c64.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.213855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.