TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5eb9…2818backed Yes0c56,404$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes23c49,737$11,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,439.582161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c25,195$19,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,007.7391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes26c23,332$5,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,966.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No75c18,621$13,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,671.433953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed No78c17,947$13,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,948.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes22c17,008$3,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,742.018947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c16,379$12,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,258.4943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Yes26c12,253$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.73333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes23c10,503$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.662259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c9,824$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.431,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed No75c7,964$5,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.064548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No73c7,520$5,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…f29dbacked No77c6,427$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No78c5,980$4,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.527851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c5,825$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.761,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No74c5,305$3,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.642462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede0…ff11backed No77c4,845$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.39540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x794f…3906backed Yes19c4,469$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85860%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes22c4,451$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.253627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c4,223$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.8679532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No68c4,179$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.227554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Yes26c4,087$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No70c3,965$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.41968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes25c3,255$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.5878344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes22c3,250$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+60.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes17c3,141$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.01825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No77c2,959$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.483256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes14c2,702$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.5138047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,524$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.3626022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes26c2,400$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.982123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c2,327$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.433,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes23c2,273$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1b…62c9backed No77c2,101$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No79c2,086$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09e0…785fbacked Yes26c2,060$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c2,012$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.354261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…5467backed No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No77c1,992$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No80c1,952$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.431040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes27c1,878$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No70c1,827$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.724555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes27c1,742$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.448636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed No74c1,330$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.871384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c1,328$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.552,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed No77c1,312$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.84366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked No74c1,300$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed No77c1,281$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.581855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes24c1,206$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.58977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes27c1,134$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8727644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No74c1,102$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.174551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe132…997abacked Yes40c1,008$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes24c1,007$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c999.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9915949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x936e…473fbacked No75c985$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes26c984.27$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.913354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes26c984.24$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes24c962.35$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes17c934.16$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.81911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No76c927.54$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.084461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes19c900.88$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c788.86$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9996947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…0b28backed Yes25c787.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes36c772.67$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked No77c735.79$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No78c718.39$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.051855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes28c696$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0735944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Yes7c674.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked No74c665.14$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.94988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No74c620.36$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.642356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes24c610.82$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.62646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No76c605.49$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3214654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes20c598.03$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.210061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes20c582.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes25c553.01$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.585263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes20c533.13$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.822114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes26c520.67$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ca…8fc2backed Yes27c516.21$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ac…8229backed Yes23c508.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…445bbacked No77c504.63$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.063100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1159345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed No80c494$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.30per pick67cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba23…0b69backed Yes15c487.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes18c485.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6433522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes12c483.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.075927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c483.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes27c478.1$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.092532%8 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes27c478.1$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.092920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes21c476.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked No77c448.27$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No78c442.79$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.411973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes22c433.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.323522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes22c421.1$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.689056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No73c415.08$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.073278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No80c414.92$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.68757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes22c413.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.028254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No74c399.08$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.763060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.44128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-77.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.