TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6ca…8fc2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.47
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.52
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.48
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+182.2%+$186.4
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$196.75
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$105.8
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.77
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$216.49
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.07
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$135.63
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.95
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$13.88
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.53
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.81
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+303.6%+$173.86
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.27
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.21
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.17
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$149.04
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.19
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$15.24
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$18.48
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$31
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.52
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.72
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$97.92
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$62.14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$284.16
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$322
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.78
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.24
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.04
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.95
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.68
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.44
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$65.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.