Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5962bbb49a4eb7b601e5f18f46576d8cf77a9a2de9f6316a4e22cebb25de5a29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $994,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $881,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $994,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 666 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 25c | 192,237$47,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,745.12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 24c | 162,424$38,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,963.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 22c | 86,131$18,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,948.76 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 79,853$63,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,975.14 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked No | 76c | 71,954$54,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,268.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 62,819$47,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,329.27 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 75c | 61,835$46,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,458.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 76c | 40,000$30,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.98 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 24c | 29,427$7,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,062.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 28,749$22,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,132.04 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 22,736$17,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.25 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Yes | 24c | 19,088$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 14,000$10,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 11,418$8,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.36 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…3906backed Yes | 15c | 11,012$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 10,996$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.48 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 24c | 10,611$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.81 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked No | 75c | 9,800$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 10c | 8,817$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.78 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 14c | 8,774$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 8,146$6,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.15 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 7c | 5,736$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.34 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 23c | 5,586$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 5,525$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.36 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked Yes | 11c | 4,940$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 76c | 4,900$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +403.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked No | 76c | 4,900$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked No | 77c | 4,866$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked Yes | 11c | 4,668$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 4,087$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.77 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.97 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 5c | 3,772$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 76c | 3,512$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.95 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,442$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.64 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 78c | 3,364$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.08 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 3,242$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.11 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 3,242$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.97 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 3,235$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.51 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…5a2abacked No | 77c | 3,202$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,010$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 24c | 2,983$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 21c | 2,952$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 24c | 2,862$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 2,820$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed No | 77c | 2,819$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 10c | 2,710$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.42 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 76c | 2,630$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.1 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 75c | 2,613$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.25 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 24c | 2,567$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.16 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 22c | 2,514$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 75c | 2,222$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,219$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 77c | 2,213$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 24c | 2,191$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.77 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,170$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,023$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 12c | 1,989$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab89…aa9bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,982$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…8605backed Yes | 23c | 1,908$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 76c | 1,829$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.96 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 78c | 1,829$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 1,805$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.13 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 75c | 1,750$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,685$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 77c | 1,619$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.34 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 16c | 1,594$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 12c | 1,589$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 24c | 1,574$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 76c | 1,485$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.35 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…dea5backed Yes | 9c | 1,471$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 24c | 1,432$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,392$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 24c | 1,388$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.09 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0be…9164backed Yes | 21c | 1,361$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Yes | 24c | 1,336$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 76c | 1,306$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.58 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 23c | 1,278$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 24c | 1,246$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 1,241$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.64 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b7…5918backed Yes | 24c | 1,198$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 24c | 1,195$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.79 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…7680backed Yes | 24c | 1,193$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 24c | 1,193$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.32 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 12c | 1,192$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,125$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 72c | 1,122$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 75c | 1,070$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.99 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 24c | 1,062$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.82 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 76c | 1,050$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 24c | 1,050$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…48fabacked Yes | 8c | 1,038$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…6585backed Yes | 28c | 1,029$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 24c | 1,022$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,004$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.