TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,300,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,080,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,300,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1153…df79backed Yes37c259,743$96,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,471.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked No63c147,655$93,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,220.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No67c131,870$88,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,658.062937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Yes37c131,794$48,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,763.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b1…f076backed No65c122,352$79,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,197.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No62c101,998$63,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,539.261952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No64c91,618$58,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,826.313141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No63c80,242$50,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,689.486344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No62c73,158$45,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,800.036442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c62,914$22,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,243.929846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes33c58,247$19,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,221.384658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No63c50,000$31,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,499.998751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Yes35c45,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,750728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes35c41,891$14,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,661.882330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No62c40,000$24,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,2008040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked No64c38,379$24,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,712.75100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc821…6a7ebacked Yes34c34,095$11,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,504.5425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c32,881$21,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,095.961447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No63c32,094$20,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,874.663737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes32c30,685$9,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,726.13231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c29,058$18,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,381.8359441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked No63c28,999$18,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,729.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes38c28,884$10,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,975.921070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No63c28,490$17,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,541.362050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes30c28,049$8,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,319.036844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ff…1603backed Yes20c27,017$5,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,276.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c81…3620backed Yes26c25,639$6,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,704.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+87.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No64c25,096$16,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,034.19988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+46.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c50…6225backed Yes38c25,014$9,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,505.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No80c25,007$19,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.91,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x570f…75bfbacked No63c24,477$15,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,056.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa05…f5fdbacked Yes0c23,494$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes15c19,613$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.92839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No65c19,576$12,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,913.118250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No64c18,950$12,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,860.885265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c18,608$4,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,52558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes34c17,412$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,919.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Yes4c15,237$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.542128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9502334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No64c15,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4004247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes35c14,723$5,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,137.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes13c13,121$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7081435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No66c12,816$8,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,357.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes38c12,668$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8141250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed No64c12,625$8,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,544.961861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed No64c12,593$8,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes34c12,537$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,254.6838935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes33c12,500$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,12528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Yes37c12,385$4,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,582.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked Yes8c11,985$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes24c11,818$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8712147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+64.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No67c11,576$7,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.115545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No71c11,498$8,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.451442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051f…88aebacked Yes18c11,482$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.21030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes37c11,377$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,197.668853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Yes30c11,094$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+81.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed Yes37c11,000$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No66c11,000$7,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.865248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No63c10,818$6,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.741346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No62c10,730$6,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,033.576657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95d0…bdf2backed Yes36c10,564$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Yes3c10,483$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked No63c10,244$6,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,790.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes11c10,221$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.22222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No66c9,878$6,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.368647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes8c9,769$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.9510051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes37c9,588$3,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,537.565263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a33…3a4fbacked Yes7c9,065$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No66c9,000$5,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.935549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No67c8,947$5,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.5213538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No64c8,912$5,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.399659.4%57 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No66c8,600$5,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.922860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes3c8,549$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.721118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No67c8,171$5,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.411650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No63c8,100$5,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No66c7,999$5,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.85944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No68c7,922$5,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.2635860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes16c7,714$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.43336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes38c7,651$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked No64c7,644$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked No67c7,457$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes14c7,150$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb3…2868backed Yes24c7,100$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes13c6,867$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.7714953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d43…ae44backed Yes33c6,693$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes10c6,496$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.4410419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes34c6,364$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.858243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No63c6,242$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.73237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked No66c6,212$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b7…ba46backed Yes35c6,013$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c6,001$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.2322147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No62c6,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2805550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes36c5,917$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.261741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes18c5,869$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.193145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes37c5,773$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes34c5,619$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.62128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes19c5,590$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.412161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes37c5,555$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.248938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes35c5,491$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9221330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.