TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f28…266e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57,600
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,200
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47,821.94
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65,020Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$19,257.17
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,284.52
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18,620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19,379.75
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$162,762.63
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73,844.86
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41,454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$32,571.21
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,946.2
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$122,090Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$45,156.42
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$260,465Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$77,801.32
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$190,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190,632.32
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,200
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,600.96
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101,857.05
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13,588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14,142.31
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19,885.5
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,071Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,950.35
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,550
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,139.95
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56,953Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$17,336.43
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$482.56
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33,858Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15,211.7
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58.68
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,136.02
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,873.43
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31,000
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16,914Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19,855.15
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90,998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30,332.64
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19,600
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49,700
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28,910Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20,089.97
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,800
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,702.97
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,500
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,595.42
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,600
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54,750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$20,250
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56,184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+30%+$16,881.03
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,013Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+103%+$20,609.5
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18,480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20,019.86
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32,085Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16,528.84
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$257,842Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$91,210.18
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115,521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$98,406.88
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,280
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,287.52
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37,202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40,302.08
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,254.8
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110,231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$67,560.94
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29,916Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19,944.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,758.3
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78,608.62
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51,506Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$30,249.6
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$40,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,654.11
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47,085Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14,064.37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$97,000
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91,042.02
Will Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74,044Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$19,934.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24,867Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22,953.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118,111.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88,499.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.