MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99575b3f89c2336f2b04856cefff8ed8f1971f478b8bacee94b1ae8da01a1883

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cleveland Guardiansof Baltimore Orioles, Cleveland Guardians
Resolved: Apr 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,694,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,827,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,694,623 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	465,302$211,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211,538.69	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Cleveland Guardians	56c	281,661$157,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123,747.44	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	258,034$108,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108,643.41	310	39%121 W · 189 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Cleveland Guardians	55c	228,580$125,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102,861.06	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Cleveland Guardians	54c	213,928$115,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98,406.88	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians	61c	104,784$64,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,603.29	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians	54c	75,464$40,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,468.65	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813a…b67fbacked Cleveland Guardians	55c	67,673$37,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,452.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+87.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Cleveland Guardians	53c	66,416$35,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,076.4	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Baltimore Orioles	45c	62,719$28,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,224.76	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	55,838$26,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,243.7	177	53.1%94 W · 83 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Baltimore Orioles	45c	50,000$22,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,500	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles	46c	42,000$19,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,319.95	771	53.8%415 W · 356 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cleveland Guardians	54c	36,015$19,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,566.81	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	30,000$13,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,799.98	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Baltimore Orioles	20c	27,887$5,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,473.48	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians	55c	27,244$14,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,259.8	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	23,690$11,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,134.3	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Cleveland Guardians	60c	23,074$13,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,239.23	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Baltimore Orioles	40c	17,800$7,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,120	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	15,000$6,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,849.82	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…e677backed Cleveland Guardians	55c	13,622$7,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,129.9	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+90.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles	32c	12,224$3,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,956.5	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	11,302$5,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,311.83	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles	12c	9,783$1,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.9	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Baltimore Orioles	17c	9,775$1,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,643.35	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	9,458$4,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,270.25	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians	53c	8,956$4,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,183	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	8,000$3,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,679.99	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians	56c	7,804$4,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,422.15	350	56%196 W · 154 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles	23c	7,080$1,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,614.52	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Baltimore Orioles	46c	7,065$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,249.91	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	7,000$3,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,219.99	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles	26c	6,474$1,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.91	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Baltimore Orioles	18c	5,014$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.62	1,153	42.8%494 W · 659 L	-37.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb4b…ff07backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baltimore Orioles	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	1,153	49.2%567 W · 586 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Cleveland Guardians	54c	4,929$2,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,267.38	366	49.2%180 W · 186 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Baltimore Orioles	12c	4,791$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.96	85	15.3%13 W · 72 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Cleveland Guardians	70c	4,318$3,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316.92	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	4,120$1,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,936.4	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	4,074$1,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,833.37	1,408	48.8%687 W · 721 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	3,506$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612.58	132	54.5%72 W · 60 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Baltimore Orioles	25c	3,487$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.04	86	43%37 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Baltimore Orioles	25c	3,464$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.16	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Baltimore Orioles	19c	3,415$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.03	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	3,366$1,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,548.16	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Baltimore Orioles	11c	3,333$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.48	881	53.7%473 W · 408 L	+40.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410	1,293	47.3%611 W · 682 L	-18.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cleveland Guardians	58c	2,870$1,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,205.61	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles	42c	2,771$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,163.67	1,041	50.1%522 W · 519 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians	54c	2,701$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.51	360	47.5%171 W · 189 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Baltimore Orioles	40c	2,700$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Cleveland Guardians	53c	2,666$1,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.02	1,358	50.8%690 W · 668 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians	55c	2,662$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,201.62	650	50.3%327 W · 323 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Baltimore Orioles	40c	2,651$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.4	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles	17c	2,636$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.63	609	41.4%252 W · 357 L	-22.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	2,500$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	624	47.6%297 W · 327 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles	38c	2,457$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.36	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians	53c	2,414$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134.56	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles	9c	2,397$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.94	1,194	29%346 W · 848 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Cleveland Guardians	55c	2,300$1,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.92	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	2,270$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.3	678	49.3%334 W · 344 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f59…4c9fbacked Baltimore Orioles	26c	2,132$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Cleveland Guardians	53c	2,123$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.92	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-10.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians	77c	2,101$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.23	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Guardians	76c	2,047$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.15	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	277	51.6%143 W · 134 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians	53c	1,975$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.21	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Baltimore Orioles	8c	1,796$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.83	333	28.2%94 W · 239 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles	29c	1,682$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.37	1,355	49.8%675 W · 680 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles	33c	1,643$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.62	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	1,534$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.42	1,010	48.1%486 W · 524 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles	15c	1,524$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.45	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff72…6146backed Baltimore Orioles	8c	1,476$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.2	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	1,463$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.35	280	49.6%139 W · 141 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Cleveland Guardians	55c	1,354$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.19	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	1,333$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Cleveland Guardians	53c	1,304$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.8	710	44.5%316 W · 394 L	-23.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Cleveland Guardians	56c	1,304$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.73	1,215	40.5%492 W · 723 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Cleveland Guardians	76c	1,301$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.26	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Baltimore Orioles	21c	1,288$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.47	170	14.1%24 W · 146 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	1,287$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.02	523	47.2%247 W · 276 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	1,227$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.76	135	49.6%67 W · 68 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b0…a72abacked Cleveland Guardians	54c	1,198$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.4	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Baltimore Orioles	33c	1,164$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.46	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Baltimore Orioles	40c	1,140$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.47	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Cleveland Guardians	61c	1,112$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.66	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a51…cfeebacked Baltimore Orioles	9c	1,091$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.58	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Cleveland Guardians	77c	1,088$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.1	707	35.1%248 W · 459 L	-31.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Cleveland Guardians	77c	1,050$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.71	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles	30c	1,003$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.29	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed Cleveland Guardians	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Baltimore Orioles	46c	1,000$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cleveland Guardians	55c	999.97$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.99	278	51.8%144 W · 134 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	999.49$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.77	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81d9…3d1fbacked Baltimore Orioles	17c	987.9$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.68	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles	8c	970.85$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.57	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event