MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07599ab318439f6d122e4f89c0927cee5716ef350182e75538cc564b309123bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 57c | 493,629$282,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,067.28 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 43c | 146,641$63,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,055.54 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 42c | 125,000$52,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,499.93 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 44c | 100,000$43,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 42,280$18,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,109.81 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 44c | 27,680$12,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,091.08 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 41c | 24,448$10,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,023.88 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 17,200$9,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.78 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 11,128$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.52 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 43c | 9,658$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.94 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 42c | 7,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Under | 53c | 5,278$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.45 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 5,056$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.53 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 4,454$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.25 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 54c | 4,142$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.18 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 3,443$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 43c | 2,324$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.27 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 57c | 2,305$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.36 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 46c | 1,967$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.61 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 43c | 1,813$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.39 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 1,688$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.42 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.03 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 1,517$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.3 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 44c | 1,442$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.62 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.92 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 14c | 1,207$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 45c | 1,207$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.07 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 54c | 1,189$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.72 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 1,094$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.3 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Under | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 44c | 866.56$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.95 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 54c | 829.48$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.56 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 814$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 799.86$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.25 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 41c | 785.73$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.15 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 761.07$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.15 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 729.15$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.53 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 13c | 708.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 43c | 704.94$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.58 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 46c | 700.56$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.21 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 57c | 662.46$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 624.43$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.57 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Over | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 50c | 504.4$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 44c | 490.7$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 28c | 480.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 27c | 447.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 40c | 438.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 44c | 431.18$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 44c | 403.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 43c | 395.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 57c | 364.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 57c | 364.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 40c | 340$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Under | 57c | 304.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 44c | 282.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Under | 71c | 276.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 37c | 270.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 269.4$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 264.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 236.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 47c | 234.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 45c | 219.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 207.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…db37backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 34c | 195.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Over | 43c | 194.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…7409backed Under | 58c | 193.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 70c | 170.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 13c | 163.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Under | 57c | 162.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 40c | 148.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Under | 58c | 143.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Under | 57c | 136.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Under | 58c | 132.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 71c | 123.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 16c | 117.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over | 43c | 112.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 42c | 111.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 109.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 107.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 9c | 106.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…ba89backed Over | 43c | 105.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 57c | 102.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.