MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x631781f9e70be365c356bc033168bdc152ae43fec8821a0ba831af521b439367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 12,389$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,927.13 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 11,974$7,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,646.54 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 9,920$6,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.94 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 6,307$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.22 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 3,092$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.34 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 2,813$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 2,220$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.79 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,790$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.59 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,632$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.13 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,576$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.05 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,490$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.27 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 1,339$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.82 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,257$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.47 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,123$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.3 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,068$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.8 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,039$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.12 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 859.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.03 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 755.78$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.7 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 608.07$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.29 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 580$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 548.24$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.36 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 443.3$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 415$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 391.6$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 328.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 312.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.08 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 312.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.08 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 310.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 303.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.97 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 289.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 264.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 257.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 245.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 241.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 229.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 170.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 154.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 131.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 130.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 114$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 109.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 106.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 98.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 77.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…baa1backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 61.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 59.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 58.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 57.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 55.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 55.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…8617backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 53.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c4…a442backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 50.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 49.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 48.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 47.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 46.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 46.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 46.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 46.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 44.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 39.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 39.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 39.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 38.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 38.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 36.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 35.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 34.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 32.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 31.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 29.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 28.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 28.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 27.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 27.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…4a75backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 26.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee7…0f4abacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 22.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f4…8d0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 21.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe909…465ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 19.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.