TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x896d…cd2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT17357.8%100 W · 73 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.34
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Boltbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$477.07
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.22
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.23
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.97
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samsonbacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$968.34
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Prestonbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.81
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.07
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naefbacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.81
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.29
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$939.99
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$239.22
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$572.21
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alvesbacked Carolina Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$408.61
Saint-Malo: Claire Liu vs Alice Ramebacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$782.72
Mauthausen: Matthew William Donald vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$858.2
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.47
Abidjan: Massimo Giunta vs Andrew Fentybacked Andrew Fenty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$771.03
Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Daria Snigurbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.13
Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,595.91
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$836.01
Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.7
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,809.53
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,114.11
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$954.24
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.41
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.94
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$932.32
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,599Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+65%+$1,039.02
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,743.97
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,454.4
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$947.07
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$642.4
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.46
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.56
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$541.69
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.08
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$316.08
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.69
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.53
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.75
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$895.11
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,149.63
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$175
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.54
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$112.02
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$356.84
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.92
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.84
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.39
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+182.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$151.8
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$518.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$518.76
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.35
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Karachi Kingsbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$1,257.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$231.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Dione Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$649.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.