MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ba4fc49690ed7c9ca9162f704ca4473901134c76b786af3eb4d6c5c5046a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Toronto Blue Jays, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 101,486$42,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,624.18 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 56,430$32,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,544.48 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 44,269$18,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,150.14 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 40,272$23,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,914.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 33,294$19,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,983.52 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 32,049$17,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,413.91 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 31,166$13,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,445.2 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 22,981$9,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,652 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 22,599$13,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,288.05 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 20,040$11,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,136.32 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 19,983$10,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,225.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 19,534$8,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,204.2 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 18,315$7,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,873.14 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 16,341$9,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.87 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 14,703$6,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,485.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 13,221$6,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,070.69 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 13,116$7,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,776.82 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 12,407$7,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.78 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 9,988$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.9 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 9,004$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.7 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 8,693$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.86 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 8,322$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.21 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 7,923$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 4,421$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.98 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 4,334$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.81 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 3,510$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.82 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,282$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 3,195$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,936$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.32 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 2,926$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 2,915$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.33 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 2,643$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.37 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,638$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…682bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 2,574$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,560$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.01 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 2,376$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.22 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 2,344$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.47 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,161$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.38 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 2,071$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.82 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 2,060$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.71 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,024$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,950$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,904$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.93 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,875$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 1,571$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.93 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…c199backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,532$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,485$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.23 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,480$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.34 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad8…ed62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,470$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…4e82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,452$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,263$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.61 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,257$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.12 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,224$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,222$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.51 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,191$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,170$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.76 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,164$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,092$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.47 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,079$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,047$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,042$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.67 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,002$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…3558backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…2b39backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 992.37$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 941.07$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 879.42$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.95 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 877.86$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.92 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 845.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 812.68$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 797.35$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d2…efb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 793.11$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 778.94$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.16 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 758.9$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.18 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 755.45$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.51 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 744.14$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.14 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 706.23$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.12 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 680.68$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.11 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 676.79$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.32 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 615.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 614.22$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 609.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 581$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.97 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 529.83$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…8135backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 491.33$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 467.04$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.