TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Karachi Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Multan Sultansof Multan Sultans, Karachi Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$214,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0ee…1686backed Karachi Kings9c8,035$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.7418923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b7…6008backed Karachi Kings30c7,781$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.4233140.2%133 W · 198 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da0…523cbacked Multan Sultans74c6,379$4,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.646768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked Multan Sultans78c4,075$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.236445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed Karachi Kings18c3,924$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.6632337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Karachi Kings25c3,635$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.464535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Multan Sultans79c2,871$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2829631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Multan Sultans77c2,846$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.3831050%155 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Multan Sultans54c2,746$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Multan Sultans67c2,713$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.8356837%210 W · 358 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Multan Sultans56c2,660$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.8763346.3%293 W · 340 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45e…605fbacked Multan Sultans77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4604472.7%32 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Karachi Kings48c1,842$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.7417155.6%95 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Multan Sultans77c1,697$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3310241.2%42 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Karachi Kings11c1,683$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Karachi Kings26c1,509$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.686141%25 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Multan Sultans70c1,404$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.184468.2%30 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Karachi Kings26c1,316$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.516131.1%19 W · 42 L-9.9wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-49.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Multan Sultans75c1,245$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.8864143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Karachi Kings1c1,048$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Karachi Kings19c1,006$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.184341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2312…016fbacked Multan Sultans51c951.57$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.275933.9%20 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Multan Sultans74c949.97$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.899149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1a…24b7backed Karachi Kings31c797.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.088060%48 W · 32 L+11.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d81…06edbacked Karachi Kings6c786.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc9…27babacked Karachi Kings12c767.26$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked Multan Sultans66c744.19$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.442955.2%16 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b0…9f87backed Karachi Kings34c681.92$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6714730.6%45 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Karachi Kings2c656.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1231027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Karachi Kings49c613.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.994839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0e6…84cebacked Karachi Kings36c599.93$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.983735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed Karachi Kings34c571.45$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.892638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6833…c63cbacked Karachi Kings4c539.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2712…0e5dbacked Karachi Kings33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Karachi Kings18c450.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5111841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…9c8cbacked Karachi Kings33c439.01$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.871650%8 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Karachi Kings44c435.77$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3249247.2%232 W · 260 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Karachi Kings19c413.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3641647.4%197 W · 219 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Karachi Kings14c411.12$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5565250.9%332 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Karachi Kings26c400.46$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.485651.8%29 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed Karachi Kings12c389$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6832315.8%51 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Karachi Kings6c377.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6567631.4%212 W · 464 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x327a…2381backed Karachi Kings21c340.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5912122.3%27 W · 94 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86da…39f5backed Karachi Kings39c325.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.489855.1%54 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0136…8e5dbacked Karachi Kings31c321$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.516439.1%25 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c55…42d2backed Karachi Kings17c308.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42025%5 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karachi Kings19c294.02$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0642044%185 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6d…0c24backed Karachi Kings33c291.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3521035.7%75 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x736b…8da6backed Multan Sultans64c274.94$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.126471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+25.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x36b2…5047backed Karachi Kings33c273.4$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2213641.2%56 W · 80 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Multan Sultans59c267.59$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.895457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdf…a425backed Karachi Kings5c263.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x093b…772bbacked Multan Sultans66c253.89$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.721947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x444a…07adbacked Karachi Kings32c251.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.526150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7f…cdffbacked Karachi Kings16c239.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.186048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5403…afe5backed Karachi Kings21c224.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.732080%16 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Multan Sultans68c208.9$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.983557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a1…4ca0backed Karachi Kings5c203.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Multan Sultans75c200.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8218541.6%77 W · 108 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Multan Sultans47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x902f…f01dbacked Multan Sultans74c194.53$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.343036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Karachi Kings29c188.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2524840.7%101 W · 147 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Multan Sultans56c177$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.883551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Karachi Kings55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.319956.3%112 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8c…e37cbacked Karachi Kings23c169.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.468026.3%21 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Karachi Kings23c161.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7876251.6%393 W · 369 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad20…3b73backed Karachi Kings7c153.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.39517.8%4 W · 47 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-66.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Karachi Kings35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.55754.4%31 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7a1…e821backed Multan Sultans57c145.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1323555.3%130 W · 105 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7778…261dbacked Karachi Kings21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.562828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7a…500cbacked Multan Sultans57c137.76$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6723754.4%129 W · 108 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4690…94fbbacked Multan Sultans57c137.76$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6715151.7%78 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ad…4e13backed Karachi Kings51c136.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.677058.6%41 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Karachi Kings20c133$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.134955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa231…0ab0backed Multan Sultans56c127.12$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.935862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Karachi Kings48c126.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b3…6471backed Karachi Kings33c125.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.042119%4 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Multan Sultans51c112.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.510450%52 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c6…cda7backed Karachi Kings21c111.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.94233.3%14 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd36a…104dbacked Multan Sultans57c106.75$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.91275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed Karachi Kings14c102.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.231136.2%7 W · 106 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Multan Sultans56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4447061.5%289 W · 181 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5987…e287backed Karachi Kings28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810948.6%53 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Multan Sultans62c98.8$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.48652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Multan Sultans46c95.16$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Karachi Kings22c93.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.177433.8%25 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe819…2a5bbacked Karachi Kings23c90.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.173438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Karachi Kings32c89.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7826930.5%82 W · 187 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Multan Sultans68c82.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6819041.6%79 W · 111 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1bc…4fdfbacked Karachi Kings31c81.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d24…edf7backed Karachi Kings24c81.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.554946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5613…31abbacked Karachi Kings32c80.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7864…0a47backed Karachi Kings28c74.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.86520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd7…60e4backed Karachi Kings19c72.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.563933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x03e6…671abacked Karachi Kings16c71.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.435154.9%28 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Karachi Kings27c70.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0315444.2%68 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50c…0d2ebacked Karachi Kings27c70.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.04633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…fa49backed Multan Sultans67c69.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.122642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Karachi Kings32c69.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1412141.3%50 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646f…c762backed Karachi Kings17c66.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.417035.7%25 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.