TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0136…8e5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT6439.1%25 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrainbacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$97.2
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.42
Will Pakistan win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.53
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.36
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+74%+$173.29
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$141.29
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.6
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$162.83
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.3
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.09
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Multan Sultansbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$54.55
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$70.62
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$60.65
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT5839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.83
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Cbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.74
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$173.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$50.34
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$39.84
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+248.3%+$249.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.63
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.02
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$19.58
UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Antonio Trocoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$84.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$446.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.