UFC · resolved market
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c58e09f8a105ad3cd3fbeb780ed0bb4bb7f9ffea992e5679e25e3809b3cc8ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kevin Hollandof Kevin Holland, Randy Brown
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $643,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $717,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $643,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Randy Brown | 48c | 121,244$58,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,196.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 79,386$41,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,105.13 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 61,507$31,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,523.16 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 51,817$26,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,872.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Kevin Holland | 52c | 46,662$24,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,280.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Randy Brown | 50c | 44,805$22,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,541.73 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Randy Brown | 48c | 39,552$18,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,984.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Randy Brown | 47c | 36,432$17,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,122.82 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Randy Brown | 11c | 32,347$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.85 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Kevin Holland | 49c | 29,999$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.68 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Randy Brown | 48c | 26,158$12,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,555.65 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Kevin Holland | 51c | 24,901$12,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,285.35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kevin Holland | 47c | 20,280$9,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,722.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Randy Brown | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Kevin Holland | 48c | 13,284$6,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907.51 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Kevin Holland | 52c | 10,109$5,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.4 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 9,544$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.36 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Kevin Holland | 52c | 9,392$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Kevin Holland | 53c | 7,908$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kevin Holland | 71c | 6,861$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.1 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Randy Brown | 52c | 6,835$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.05 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Randy Brown | 51c | 6,722$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.87 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Randy Brown | 8c | 6,250$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.99 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 5,350$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 4,898$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.96 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Kevin Holland | 76c | 4,190$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.43 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…7eb3backed Randy Brown | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Randy Brown | 51c | 4,018$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Randy Brown | 48c | 3,992$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Randy Brown | 10c | 3,553$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.18 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Randy Brown | 51c | 3,446$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.29 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd71…a641backed Randy Brown | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Kevin Holland | 67c | 2,885$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Kevin Holland | 52c | 2,838$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Randy Brown | 51c | 2,808$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Kevin Holland | 56c | 2,652$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.78 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Randy Brown | 7c | 2,578$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Randy Brown | 51c | 2,501$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.37 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Randy Brown | 27c | 2,267$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.53 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Kevin Holland | 52c | 2,113$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.73 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Kevin Holland | 53c | 2,090$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.43 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f2…8083backed Randy Brown | 51c | 2,071$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…1fb0backed Kevin Holland | 50c | 2,070$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Randy Brown | 48c | 2,062$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.54 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Randy Brown | 47c | 2,008$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.12 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Randy Brown | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kevin Holland | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Randy Brown | 48c | 2,000$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Kevin Holland | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.1 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Randy Brown | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Randy Brown | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kevin Holland | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.46 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…867cbacked Randy Brown | 48c | 1,632$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Kevin Holland | 50c | 1,576$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.81 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Randy Brown | 50c | 1,543$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.19 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Randy Brown | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Randy Brown | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Randy Brown | 9c | 1,422$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Randy Brown | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Kevin Holland | 53c | 1,326$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Kevin Holland | 48c | 1,216$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.9 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Randy Brown | 27c | 1,208$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.34 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Randy Brown | 17c | 1,162$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Kevin Holland | 53c | 1,020$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Kevin Holland | 53c | 1,018$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kevin Holland | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Randy Brown | 49c | 999.92$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Kevin Holland | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Kevin Holland | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Randy Brown | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Kevin Holland | 53c | 924.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce1…24d7backed Randy Brown | 51c | 922.07$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Kevin Holland | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Randy Brown | 51c | 856.41$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 847.93$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.01 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Randy Brown | 51c | 818.35$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Randy Brown | 39c | 794.69$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.07 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed Randy Brown | 30c | 749.03$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 747.34$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Randy Brown | 45c | 725.1$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.2 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Randy Brown | 28c | 721.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Kevin Holland | 53c | 649.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.27 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Kevin Holland | 47c | 630.57$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.27 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Randy Brown | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Kevin Holland | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Randy Brown | 7c | 587.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Randy Brown | 53c | 587.41$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.51 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…8a4cbacked Kevin Holland | 52c | 556.9$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…edd6backed Randy Brown | 43c | 518.78$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Randy Brown | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Randy Brown | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Randy Brown | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Kevin Holland | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Randy Brown | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Randy Brown | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Randy Brown | 59c | 480.77$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Randy Brown | 11c | 473.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Kevin Holland | 53c | 473.06$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.34 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.