TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39eb…0e4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT7350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.95
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,612.08
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,545.4
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,160.18
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,211.33
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.3
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.67
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,125.46
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,585.21
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,883Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,088.02
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,518.08
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$409.42
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$466.18
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$169.46
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,572.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.45
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,747.43
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$220.48
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,046Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,594.36
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.3
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,710.89
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+1,432.9%+$3,466.38
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,022.66
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,718Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,320.4%+$49,093.18
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.62
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,257.82
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,292.68
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$4,329.83
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,887Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$6,691.46
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,381.95
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,301.21
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+305.6%+$1,712.4
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,642Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$3,354.15
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.29
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.77
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.01
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,915Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+90%+$2,622.97
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$2,419
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,363.15
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$564.96
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,937Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,274.86
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,201.35
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,958Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$3,021.31
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$2,029.4
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,475.03
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,722Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$9,065.44
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,482Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$3,009.8
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$2,361.76
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$697.46
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,483.38
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.63
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.54
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.5
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,542.83
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.88
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,789Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$489.49
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-5.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$613.41
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.14
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.86
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$2,342.26
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.46
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977.43
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,134
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,093Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$854.86
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,915Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,199.26
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,133.33
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$2,397.97
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,190.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,918.4
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$3,743.45
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.