NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02da0bea44d71ecf669a1e516b96e11b27a770c9590a394d051f97101a196778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,604,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,793,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,604,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 597 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 50c | 341,640$170,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,182.45 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Penguins | 45c | 313,781$141,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,638.18 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Penguins | 43c | 218,695$94,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,010.42 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 57c | 140,199$79,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,285.57 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 50c | 138,537$69,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,048.02 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 53c | 103,209$54,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,936.81 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Capitals | 54c | 81,290$43,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,393.55 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Capitals | 57c | 80,000$45,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,399.96 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.87 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Penguins | 49c | 44,339$21,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,578.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 50c | 30,309$15,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,046.21 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Capitals | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 50c | 29,967$14,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,871.21 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 49c | 29,740$14,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,564.25 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…9c30backed Penguins | 51c | 25,815$13,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,165.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Penguins | 36c | 18,149$6,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,534.79 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Capitals | 62c | 16,110$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.87 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Capitals | 53c | 14,507$7,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,817.25 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Capitals | 54c | 14,262$7,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,501.82 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Penguins | 40c | 14,020$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Capitals | 54c | 12,972$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,938.74 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Penguins | 48c | 12,360$5,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,991.28 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 45c | 11,000$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.99 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Penguins | 37c | 10,816$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.05 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Penguins | 53c | 10,616$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.37 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Capitals | 57c | 10,324$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.32 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e57…a116backed Penguins | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 49c | 9,358$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Capitals | 57c | 9,207$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.32 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 53c | 8,868$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.92 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Penguins | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Capitals | 59c | 6,400$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Penguins | 49c | 6,180$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.2 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…0acebacked Capitals | 53c | 6,137$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.88 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Capitals | 59c | 5,898$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 54c | 5,602$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.83 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Penguins | 49c | 5,544$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.89 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…2075backed Capitals | 53c | 5,479$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 41c | 5,030$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.18 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 51c | 4,943$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.36 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 42c | 4,901$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.97 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Penguins | 49c | 4,672$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.2 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Capitals | 64c | 4,323$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.84 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 31c | 4,288$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.63 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 52c | 4,055$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.85 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Capitals | 45c | 3,946$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.3 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Capitals | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Penguins | 42c | 3,750$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.01 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Capitals | 53c | 3,704$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 37c | 3,578$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.54 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Penguins | 53c | 3,560$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Penguins | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 44c | 3,407$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Capitals | 69c | 3,370$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.34 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Capitals | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Capitals | 75c | 3,025$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.04 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Capitals | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…888dbacked Capitals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Penguins | 49c | 2,909$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.33 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…8b52backed Penguins | 5c | 2,851$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Capitals | 59c | 2,841$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.3 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 53c | 2,791$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5b…9edcbacked Capitals | 58c | 2,789$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Penguins | 35c | 2,555$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.21 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Penguins | 49c | 2,535$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Penguins | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Penguins | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.97 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…6ae0backed Capitals | 57c | 2,473$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Penguins | 49c | 2,457$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Penguins | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Penguins | 34c | 2,324$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.76 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Penguins | 53c | 2,321$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Penguins | 41c | 2,251$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.17 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 50c | 2,195$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.12 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Penguins | 53c | 2,151$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.14 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Capitals | 45c | 2,109$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.07 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Penguins | 30c | 2,108$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.02 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Penguins | 51c | 2,005$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.78 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Penguins | 49c | 2,004$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.96 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Penguins | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Capitals | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Penguins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.95 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Penguins | 49c | 1,967$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.14 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…0c7abacked Penguins | 43c | 1,949$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…abe9backed Capitals | 48c | 1,899$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…22e8backed Penguins | 53c | 1,899$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,860$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.85 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Capitals | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…bf85backed Capitals | 46c | 1,837$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…134abacked Penguins | 55c | 1,837$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Penguins | 47c | 1,821$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.93 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Capitals | 58c | 1,810$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.34 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…30c9backed Penguins | 44c | 1,781$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Penguinsthis page
- Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.