NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81051013cfc539c74011b848ca8192bc4f4681cb58eb22b684ec773a69a451b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 10,406$5,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,203.14 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 10,280$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.67 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 7,416$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.1 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 4,134$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 3,233$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.09 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 3,010$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.36 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 2,450$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 51c | 1,646$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.24 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,620$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.02 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 52c | 1,225$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 955.26$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.47 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 901.99$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.05 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 47c | 898.58$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.33 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 49c | 712.24$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 654.06$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 49c | 404.05$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.86 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 65c | 384.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…aea3backed Under | 41c | 363$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 54c | 305.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…3290backed Over | 52c | 279$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…cbe7backed Under | 49c | 274$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9731backed Over | 55c | 245$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7223…8de3backed Under | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 238.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 238.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 238.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 238.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 47c | 228.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…616dbacked Under | 55c | 200.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 52c | 174.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 52c | 159.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 48c | 150.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 142.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 51c | 140$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 51c | 137.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 41c | 133.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 132.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 65c | 130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 47c | 128.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 39c | 104.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…ccc9backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 74c | 76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 43c | 66.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 49c | 66.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 65.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 56c | 65.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Over | 49c | 60.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Over | 52c | 50.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 53c | 46.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…6ec2backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 49c | 41.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…5e6fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…599ebacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…a468backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Under | 45c | 29.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…73debacked Over | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Capitals vs. PenguinsCapitals won
- Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.