TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac1a…813e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
402
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT17250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.82
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.92
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$291.97
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.21
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,749.83
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$360.74
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$702.94
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$918.41
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.11
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,183.84
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$355.98
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.53
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$86.52
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$531.25
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$382.76
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$359.19
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$498.61
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.57
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$434.19
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$467.33
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.88
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.83
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.06
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$195.07
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.96
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$223.2
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.8
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$505.95
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.28
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$313.34
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890.36
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$1,066.13
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$453.66
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$489.27
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$467.97
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$1,246.06
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$180.34
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,727Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$1,442.87
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.66
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$130.13
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$243.56
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.12
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47%+$74.46
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.97
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$95.94
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$175.18
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.58
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT6648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.4
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.67
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.38
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.9
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176.15
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.84
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.69
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$492.95
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$715.34
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$682.97
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$150.12
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.42
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,717Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$2,299.73
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$184.13
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+292.3%+$401.87
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,060.33
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.04
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.21
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.13
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$120.88
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$338.19
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.21
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Cagliari Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$648.94
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$349.87
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.2
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.56
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$208.44
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$347.15
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$261.13
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$136.34
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$331.33
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$427.73
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$228.01
Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$163.6
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.82
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$158.35
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+83.7%+$31
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$249.38
Will Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.46
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.44
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90%+$84.42
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$395.06
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$423.58
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.29
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+141%+$68.32
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.25
Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$38.61
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+97.7%+$274.12
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$107.71
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$295.56
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+97.8%+$230.3
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$59.56
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.16
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$64.29
Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.54
Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)backed Tigres de la UANL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.74
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$119.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,695Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$1,302.23
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.02
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.