TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over38c5,054$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c3,917$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.62,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under54c3,322$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.7934239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over22c2,000$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under61c1,963$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.723863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over38c1,541$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over30c1,109$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.783441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under25c774.18$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.797045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c739.43$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.94339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under25c616.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.992638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under49c610$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.11560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under24c469$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.446836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over34c440.88$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4714442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under61c413.63$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under76c345.83$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under28c303.57$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c303.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.15219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.083435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over75c299.83$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.537025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over76c278.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.031560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c265.71$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.531,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under22c260$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over41c236.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under49c191.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over76c165.77$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.742347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over7c156.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.877042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over40c149.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9916842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Under49c143.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f8…0fd7backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over37c139.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5321748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over74c135$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.03475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over53c128.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over21c106.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.464860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ed3…50fdbacked Under70c100.7$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5122237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over18c91.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over23c88.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over42c73.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over47c67.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9511547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under77c66.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Over40c65.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.09540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under75c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.258861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under63c64.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.657762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c62.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9422545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under22c59.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.788962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under25c57.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c57.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under24c55.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.573655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under26c52.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1627453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under25c52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Under49c48.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c47.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c46.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2919952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Over76c43.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c41.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8311260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b46…1528backed Over39c41.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over49c40.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c1…5981backed Under70c40.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.134100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over37c38.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Under78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over75c35.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.642240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over44c33.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.844738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48c2…2effbacked Over43c32.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa52…eababacked Under64c31.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over75c29.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over52c28.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0811268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Under66c28.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.711250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under79c27.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5817354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over70c25.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.96520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-71%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under66c19.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6610262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x843a…e96abacked Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.