Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9822ed6c15bc5489fed885aea61492e7bfe1992fcb996eb8a2cc92b24b0b68bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Sassuolo Calcioof Parma Calcio 1913, US Sassuolo Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e8…7aacbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 5c | 1,243$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5c53backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 5c | 1,038$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…27d3backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 5c | 1,033$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…658cbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 5c | 992$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…b68bbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 5c | 876$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d7…caa1backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 5c | 826$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…1fabbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 5c | 598$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…b275backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 6c | 415.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.