Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed023218db0b34e295163f5a50e4e3a3a43b029ef7dc5a9c3bd5cb08f881de6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 34c | 5,254$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.34 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 34c | 4,142$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.48 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 3,226$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.35 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 2,537$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 2,149$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.61 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 33c | 2,124$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 1,477$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.47 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 73c | 1,071$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.26 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 1,028$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 68c | 958.02$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.73 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 27c | 429.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 68c | 335.16$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed Under | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 217.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 68c | 187.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Under | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 33c | 155.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 80c | 147.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 77c | 127.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 21c | 86.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 18c | 84.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 66c | 78.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 33c | 76.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 29c | 64.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 72c | 52.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 33.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 68c | 28.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Under | 75c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 72c | 23.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 67c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Under | 66c | 20.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…3cfabacked Under | 71c | 14.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.