TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$339,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed Over49c149,114$73,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,732.75825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Under50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,000.084254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c11,575$6,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.6634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under49c11,500$5,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8653243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under50c7,468$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,742.6431441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under51c6,400$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1366165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over51c6,124$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.316048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c5,763$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.0732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c5,529$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.5927453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c5,350$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.192,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c5,289$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.8918923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5006950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c4,952$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.0898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c4,828$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.3119952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under51c4,800$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3524971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.989650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over49c4,083$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c3,844$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.256567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c3,727$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.461,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over25c3,551$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c3,447$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.6913839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over55c3,278$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under51c2,800$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3726365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under51c2,400$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1765862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under51c2,368$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.325151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9804170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked Under49c1,637$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7846369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7846170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7504242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under53c1,480$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5886666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5885666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,164$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.9641954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under51c1,040$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.66465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under51c1,040$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.66070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.29652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under45c977.78$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.781428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over48c976.62$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7812357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x716e…bcc2backed Under48c954.98$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over25c924$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23113826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over50c904.46$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4417358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4416861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c876.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.6926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over49c829.98$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.597045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Under49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under49c779$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.337025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under51c714.02$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.872240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under49c700$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3584641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under47c690.36$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.891258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over57c688$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.162646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under48c687.5$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under51c640$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.65367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under51c624$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.766167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under51c624$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.765867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under58c599.23$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.872161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under48c591.84$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.352948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under51c560$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.45168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under50c539.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.952638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c511$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5110759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under47c499.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over49c499.58$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.796538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under50c438.63$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.326936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under50c427.39$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Under76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over5c380.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5639740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under49c369.49$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.161963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under63c343.89$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over50c338.96$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.34528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under51c320$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.82373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Under52c304$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under46c299.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c286.7$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c284.82$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5336456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2104…b10fbacked Under76c269.54$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161650%8 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c259$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7465254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under50c249.9$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.954955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over55c239.7$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over52c227.42$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.63847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Over51c224.7$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.622237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under48c207.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c203.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5415244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed Under50c201.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Under44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.991070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+77.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9201…3d5cbacked Over51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under53c166.67$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.331952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c165.33$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.563366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.45269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.