TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x17d6…f1e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
318
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT9938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.76
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$243.94
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.17
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.58
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.73
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$120.78
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$228.85
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.32
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,411Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+146%+$6,438.76
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,684.37
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,550
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$3,264.73
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$944.14
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,426.79
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$3,474.08
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$814.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,673.98
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,499.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.07
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.9
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.82
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT6426.6%17 W · 47 L-10.3wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.43
Athens Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,881.01
Kitzbuehel: Julia Avdeeva vs Gina Feistelbacked Julia Avdeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.35
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333.2
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Tatjana Mariabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.98
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$2,374.56
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.3
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$1,275
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,081Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,102.32
Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,237.29
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.7
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,955Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,810.86
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,269.99
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,549.99
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.99
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Tyler: Yuta Shimizu vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$384.93
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$1,403.86
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$558.12
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.73
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osakabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.13
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4930.6%15 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.74
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.12
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.31
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$1,091.84
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$902.16
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$1,126.82
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$443.13
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.26
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.09
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.19
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.95
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.15
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,888.8
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.32
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,215.35
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+1,698.7%+$3,116.98
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.42
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.9
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.48
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$324
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.24
Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 0 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.48
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.97
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104%+$524.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.68
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.61
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.77
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,989Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,111
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,620.45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,409.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,215.03
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,633.38
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5,802.78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,954Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,075.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,380
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,340
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$440
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$139.38
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,012.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$4,020
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.69
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,699.99
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.56
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.83
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$2,080
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+77.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.55
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.99
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.79
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$111.99
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$778.01
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick23cpaid+363%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.19
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.