TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes45c32,754$14,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,739.24875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No55c22,777$12,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,249.543240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No55c21,093$11,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,502.865947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c13,861$5,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,921.643,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No55c12,563$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,653.541546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No56c10,877$6,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,759.924259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes41c9,311$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.194141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No55c7,945$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No55c5,811$3,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.943250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No55c5,493$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.98742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes45c4,942$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes23c4,912$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c4,530$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.651,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No56c4,263$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.8812057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c3,657$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.2284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes43c3,305$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.4214552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No55c3,139$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.542572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed No57c2,918$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No60c2,211$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.581952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c2,141$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.1844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes2c2,117$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.76130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No60c2,014$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8054261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No61c1,997$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.794369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No43c1,898$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.981968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes45c1,859$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.3716543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cf…1351backed No58c1,795$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No58c1,714$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.125635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd29…a74abacked Yes43c1,656$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes42c1,609$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes57c1,512$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.874860.4%29 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes44c1,439$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.8814654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c3…dbb5backed Yes46c1,390$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c1,331$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.8496947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No60c1,243$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.120050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes43c1,218$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.2111443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes42c1,149$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes39c1,078$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.3555545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No60c1,057$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.084264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked Yes41c1,050$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes44c1,002$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.4510956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked No59c999.98$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes42c908.83$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes33c887.12$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.754360.5%26 W · 17 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes20c834.2$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.871127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes44c826.29$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.341338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c781.24$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x407b…e0fabacked No58c756.98$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397d…32a2backed Yes42c747.69$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No56c743.35$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…0d61backed Yes42c714.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…d897backed No58c702.27$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes44c689.89$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.015740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes44c676.48$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes43c673.81$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.74933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3e…7d88backed Yes43c673.81$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes45c671.1$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.996136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No62c641.44$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.751060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No54c629.61$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7710061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Yes46c626.74$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No56c621.3$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes68c596.7$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.525034%17 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes8c589.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.184436.4%16 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No57c587.45$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.62850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes42c551.54$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed No56c519.53$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.411181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+67.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2259345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes45c484.56$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.051,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c477.22$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes41c458.89$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.875547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c449.75$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.527644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Yes43c449.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Yes43c449.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-74.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed No34c447$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.781553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes32c444$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.088947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x96dd…ff8ebacked No59c420.86$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes42c386.08$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.153354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No59c357.95$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.533860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes43c352.05$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.799056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No58c333.38$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No58c332.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.597963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0033…2ed2backed Yes5c325.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed No61c314.97$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd607…988ebacked No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes31c299.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.743828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes21c260.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6638047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa232…92fbbacked Yes43c260.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yes45c259.32$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Yes39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.341414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.341656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes41c237.62$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4317153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes45c232.37$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.012254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x934e…f045backed Yes11c232.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.94425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Yes37c228.37$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3b…e3eabacked Yes47c226.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.58825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x831f…9476backed Yes43c224.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x247f…a926backed Yes44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2e…289dbacked Yes42c217.19$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.