TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3918…b552

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
274
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT14046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$600
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$451.06
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$247.04
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$182.7
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,723.97
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.04
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$258.54
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.88
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.81
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5834.5%20 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+82.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.36
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$39.52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$247.75
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.21
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$135.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.48
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+377.6%+$719.64
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$302.23
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.94
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$174.25
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$102.63
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$113.95
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.26
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$218.34
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+40.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.87
Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinnbacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.6
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutetbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.55
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Leheckabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+98%+$98
Miami Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jessica Pegulabacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$63.99
Miami Open: Eva Lys vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.78
Murcia: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Coleman Wongbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$164
Murcia: Ivan Gakhov vs Christoph Negritubacked Christoph Negritu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Murcia: Miguel Damas vs Jan Choinskibacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Murcia: Edas Butvilas vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$240
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Cherbourg: Jurij Rodionov vs Filippo Romanobacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$47
Cap Cana: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+482%+$872.24
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Santiago: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Henrique Rochabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.31
Santiago: Jaime Faria vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+267.5%+$181.77
Kigali 2: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$128.14
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.6
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.62
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,010
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$5,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,216.5
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.7
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.43
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$120.24
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Scotland (-2.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$488.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+137.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$128.02
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$639.19
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.23
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.48
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.57
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.52
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+2,442.2%+$3,554.63
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.49
Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Cuba win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$485.74
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$114.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$91.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.68
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$60.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.